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Dictionary of the History of Ideas

Studies of Selected Pivotal Ideas
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BIBLIOGRAPHY

J. Arbuthnot, “An Argument for Divine Providence,
Taken From the Constant Regularity Observ'd in the Birth
of Both Sexes,” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society,
27 (1710), 186-90. T. Bayes, “An Essay Towards
Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances,” Philo-
sophical Transactions of the Royal Society,
53 (1763),
370-418. Jakob (Jacques) Bernoulli, Ars conjectandi (Basel,
1713, posthumous; Brussels, 1968). Rudolf Carnap, Logical
Foundations of Probability
(Chicago, 1950; 2nd ed. 1962).
A. A. Cournot, Essai sur les fondements... (1851), trans.
M. H. Moore as Essay on the Foundations of our Knowledge
(New York, 1956), Chs. IV, V, VI. F. N. David, “Studies in
the History of Probability and Statistics, I. Dicing and
Gaming,” Biometrika, 42 (1955), 1; idem, Games, Gods and
Gambling
(London, 1962). Bruno de Finetti, “La Prévision:
ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives,” in Annales de
l'Institut Henri Poincaré,
7 (1937), 1-68; trans. H. previous hit E next hit. Kyburg,
Jr., in Studies in Subjective Probability (New York, 1964).
Sir Harold Jeffreys, Theory of Probability (Oxford, 1939; 3rd
ed. 1961). M. G. Kendall, “On the Reconciliation of Theories
of Probability,” Biometrika, 36 (1949), 101; idem, “Studies
in the History of Probability and Statistics, II. The Begin-
nings of a Probability of Calculus,” Biometrika, 43 (1956),
1; ibid., V. “A Note on Playing Cards,” Biometrika, 44 (1957),
260. J. M. Keynes, A Treatise on Probability (London, 1921).
Pierre Simon, Marquis de Laplace, Théorie analytique des
probabilités
(Paris, 1812); is found in A Philosophical Essay
on Probabilities,
trans. F. L. Truscott and F. L. Emory
(London and New York, 1902; New York, 1951). Oystein
Ore, Cardano, The Gambling Scholar (Princeton, 1953). L. J.
Savage, Foundation of Statistical Inference, 2nd ed. (New
York, 1964). J. P. Süssmilch, Die Göttliche Ordnung in den
Veränderungen des menschlichen Geschlechts aus der Geburt,
dem Tode und der Fortpflanzung desselben verwiesen
(Berlin,
1741). Isaac Todhunter, A History of the Mathematical The-
ory of Probability
... (Cambridge and London, 1865). John
Venn, The Logic of Chance (London, 1866). R. von Mises,
Wahrscheinlichkeit, Statistik und Wahrheit (Vienna, 1928);
trans. as Probability, Statistics and Truth (London, 1939;
New York, 1961).

MAURICE KENDALL

[See also Causation; Chance Images; Epicureanism; For-
tune; Free Will and Determinism; Game Theory; Indeter-
minacy;
Number; Probability.]