University of Virginia Library

Investment Yields By Result

Financial Hints

By Richard M. Hirschfeld

Probably the most elementary-and
possibly the most effective-method
of amassing capital is dollar
averaging. This system is strictly
mechanical and it totally eliminates
the human factor. It means
purchasing the same dollar amount
of stock each year on a specific
date, regardless of the prevailing
market prices.

This method of stock purchase
automatically results in more
shares when prices are low and
thus tends to bring down average
costs. Here is how it works: if
one buys stock at $20, $30, and
$40 his average, price is $30 per share. But since he gets twice as
many shares at $20 as he does at
$40, his average cost is approximately
$27.75 per share.

Cash dividends are accumulated
and invested the following year
on the selected investment date.
All stock dividends are sold, and
the funds derived are added to the
investment kitty also.

This mechanical formula enables
the investor to ignore all investment
opinions, including those
concerning growth potential,
market volatility, dividend yields,
and stock values. Thus, two of
the most formidable investment
problems are solved: 1) what to
buy; 2) when to buy it.

The results of dollar averaging
are nothing short of astounding.
The table below illustrates how
an annual investment of $1,000
over the past 22 years had grown
to almost $100,000 - nearly five
times the total capital outlay-as
of November 29, 1967. Needless
to say, this is indeed a nice retirement
fund, especially when one
considers that most investors never
get close to $100,000 in personal
equity.

These results are even more
startling than they appear at first
glance, since the stocks chosen for
this dollar averaging experiment
were selected almost haphazardly.
Moreover, according to Professors
Wilford J. J. Eiteman and Frank P.
Smith of the Bureau of Business
Research of the University of
Michigan, "the study has been
deliberately and consistently designed
to make the poorest showing
possible!"

Regardless of which Big Board
issues one chooses for his dollar
averaging portfolio, the stock
market takes good care of itself,
having risen an average of 4%
per year for the past six decades.
This is quite a record considering
this time period spans an international
economic collapse and
two world wars.

How is it all possible? The astonishing
results can hardly be attributed
to any factor other than
the intrinsic merits of common
stocks as long term investments.

22 YEARS OF DOLLAR COST AVERAGING
(Based on S & P Index of 500 Stocks)

                                                   
INVESTMENT 
Jan. 15th  DIVIDENDS RECEIVED  SHARES
Jan. 15th 
[1] Annual  Cumulative  Market
Value 
Annual  Cumulative  Held  Price 
1946  $990  $090  $38  $38  53  18.36 
1947  1,023  2,013  1,787  102  140  121  14.77 
1948  1,068  3,081  2,842  178  318  191  14.88 
1949  1,128  4,209  4,021  300  618  263  15.29 
1950  1,209  5,418  5,584  491  1,109  334  16.72 
1951  1,364  6,782  8,456  560  1,669  397  21.30 
1952  1,391  8,173  10,923  640  2,309  454  24.06 
1953  1,430  9,603  13,274  737  3,046  508  26.13 
1954  1,473  11,076  14,368  870  3,916  565  25.43 
1955  1,611  12,687  21,128  1,002  4,918  611  34.58 
1956  1,835  14,522  28,779  1,134  6,052  652  44.14 
1957  1,877  16,399  31,310  1,240  7,292  693  45.18 
1958  1,997  18,396  30,374  1,297  8,589  741  40.99 
1959  2,092  20,488  43,436  1,424  10,013  778  55.83 
1960  2,067  22,555  47,463  1,558  11,598  813  58.38 
1961  2,110  24,665  50,524  1,713  13,311  848  59.58 
1962  2,245  26,910  61,134  1,874  15,185  880  69.47 
1963  2,312  29,222  59,511  2,084  17,269  914  65.11 
1964  2,547  31,769  72,501  2,365  19,634  946  76.64 
1965  2,802  34,571  84,313  2,660  22,294  978  86.21 
1966  3,035  37,606  94,435  2,899  25,193  1,010  93.50 
1967  3,235  40,841  88,503  [2] 2,230  27,423  1,047  84.53 
Nov. 29th  ....  .....  98,910  ....  .....  ....  94.47 
 
[1]

First nine months.

[2]

Including dividends reinvested.